The Ever-Changing Mountain Air of Davos
Another World Economic Forum has ended and heralded the beginning of a new year, with new challenges to be faced in the geopolitical landscape. Today, we are looking closer at the messages of the main stars of the show. The Ever-Changing Mountain Air of Davos What used to be an economic summit where economists, business […]
Iran’s Post-Protest Trajectories: What Comes Next
Executive Summary The current volatility in Iran has transitioned from localised domestic unrest to a systemic risk threatening the architectural stability of the Middle East and the global East-West balance. B&K Agency assesses that the “muddling through” strategy of previous decades is no longer a viable baseline. We further assess that the Iranian state is […]
Arctic Hold’em: The High-Stakes Trade War for Greenland
The current diplomatic friction between the United States, the Kingdom of Denmark, and the European Union regarding the status of Greenland represents a significant shift in Arctic governance and transatlantic relations. For B&K Agency stakeholders, this situation requires an objective understanding of the underlying strategic motivations and the structural changes occurring within the North Atlantic […]
B&K Explains: Portugal’s Presidential Run-Off
Executive Summary The Portuguese Republic has entered a period of unprecedented institutional tension following the first round of the 2026 presidential election. For only the second time in the five decades since the restoration of democracy, the country will proceed to a second-round run-off on 8 February. The results from 18 January have crystallised a fragmented political landscape. Moderate […]
A New Dawn for the EU Trade Policy: The EU-Mercosur Accord
After twenty-five years of diplomatic games, the ghost of the Mercosur trade agreement has finally materialised into a hard political reality – although this is still just the beginning. A New Dawn for the EU Trade Policy: The EU-Mercosur Accord The EU and Mercosur will sign their long-awaited trade agreement on Saturday, with European Commission […]
Iran’s Black Swan Moment. Strategic Assessment
Executive Summary Iran is currently navigating its most profound period of domestic instability since the 1979 revolution. This wave of unrest was precipitated by a catastrophic systemic economic failure and the geopolitical repercussions of the “12-Day War” with Israel in mid-2025. What began as localised demonstrations on 28 December 2025 has rapidly transitioned into a comprehensive nationwide […]
Breaking the Read Sea Taboo: Israel’s Recognition of Somaliland. Strategic Assessment
Executive Summary On December 26, 2025, the State of Israel executed a diplomatic maneuver that fundamentally reordered the geopolitical architecture of the Horn of Africa. By officially recognizing the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign, independent nation, Israel became the first UN member state to break a 34-year diplomatic embargo that had kept the breakaway […]
Operation Absolute Resolve and the New European Landscape
The beginning of the year was all but uneventful for Europe, with the US Operation and the subsequent fall of Maduro’s regime receiving mixed reactions from EU countries, and Cyprus assuming the Presidency of the Council. Operation Absolute Resolve and the New European Landscape The events of 3 January 2026 represent a definitive pivot point […]
The Cyprus Presidency: Breaking Down the Agenda
On 1 January 2026, the Republic of Cyprus assumed the rotating Presidency at the Council of Ministers, taking over the role from Denmark. This was the last transition of the current three-piece Presidency (consisting of Poland, Denmark and Cyprus) and comes at a moment when the Union is facing several challenges, most notably regarding competitiveness […]
US Strikes in Venezuela and the Fall of the Maduro Regime: Strategic Assessment
The events of 3 January 2026 represent a definitive pivot point in modern geopolitics. The successful execution of the attack, codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve, and the subsequent extraction of Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores have signalled the dawn of a “Restorative Era” in the Western Hemisphere. By transitioning Venezuela away from a regime defined by […]